On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for CrowdStrike is $164.21 a share, 28.6% below its $229.87 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is 0.66% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $164.21 | -28.6% | earnings per share $1.26 valued at 105.22× (the stock's own median P/E) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $1.26 |
| Year 1 | 24.30% | $1.56 |
| Year 2 | 17.91% | $1.84 |
| Year 3 | 13.44% | $2.09 |
| Year 4 | 10.31% | $2.30 |
| Year 5 | 8.11% | $2.49 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $2.49 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 105.22× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $262.19 |
| Discounted at 9.81% over 5 years: ÷ 1.5966 | $164.21 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $164.21 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $164.21
Base value $164.21 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $77.65 and a 10% chance it is above $490.41 in a year; a 41% chance it is higher than today's $229.87, from 71.54% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 9.81% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $270.04 | $145.42 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $275.04 | $146.83 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $227.39 | $163.88 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $257.57 | $164.51 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $250.43 | $165.69 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $216.90 | $166.20 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $229.87 | $164.21 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 31 Jul 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
Run a full Desk Run on CRWD · CrowdStrike company page · Call and put prices