On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for EOG Resources is $281.24 a share, 80.7% above its $155.62 close; 1 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | 10.35x spot |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $281.24 | +80.7% | earnings per share $18.76 valued at 10× (the 10× floor; the stock's own median P/E is 9.7×) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $18.76 |
| Year 1 | 30.94% | $24.56 |
| Year 2 | 21.16% | $29.76 |
| Year 3 | 14.80% | $34.16 |
| Year 4 | 10.67% | $37.81 |
| Year 5 | 7.99% | $40.83 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $40.83 |
| Exit P/E (the 10× floor; the stock's own median P/E is 9.7×) | 10× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $408.29 |
| Discounted at 7.74% over 5 years: ÷ 1.4517 | $281.24 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $281.24 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $281.24
Base value $281.24 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $108.86 and a 10% chance it is above $236.09 in a year; a 54% chance it is higher than today's $155.62, from 30.05% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 7.74% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $141.38 | — |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $148.16 | — |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $158.01 | — |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $163.03 | — |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $165.54 | — |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $147.13 | $283.16 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $155.62 | $281.24 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
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