On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for International Paper is $7.76 a share, 77.1% below its $33.94 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is 0.42% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $7.76 | -77.1% | earnings per share $1.05 valued at 10.95× (the stock's own median P/E) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $1.05 |
| Year 1 | -0.40% | $1.05 |
| Year 2 | 0.62% | $1.05 |
| Year 3 | 1.33% | $1.07 |
| Year 4 | 1.83% | $1.09 |
| Year 5 | 2.18% | $1.11 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $1.11 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 10.95× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $12.16 |
| Discounted at 9.40% over 5 years: ÷ 1.5674 | $7.76 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $7.76 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $7.76
Base value $7.76 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $22.59 and a 10% chance it is above $54.45 in a year; a 54% chance it is higher than today's $33.94, from 34.15% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 9.4% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $31.97 | — |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $32.12 | — |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $34.05 | — |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $33.19 | — |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $36.37 | $7.28 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $34.53 | $7.85 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $33.94 | $7.76 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
Run a full Desk Run on IP · International Paper company page · Call and put prices