On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Keurig Dr Pepper is $83.77 a share, 136.5% above its $35.42 close; 1 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | 10.60x spot |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $83.77 | +136.5% | earnings per share $2.30 valued at 17.18× (the stock's own median P/E) in 7 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $2.30 |
| Year 1 | 42.99% | $3.28 |
| Year 2 | 30.99% | $4.30 |
| Year 3 | 22.60% | $5.28 |
| Year 4 | 16.72% | $6.16 |
| Year 5 | 12.60% | $6.93 |
| Year 6 | 9.72% | $7.61 |
| Year 7 | 7.70% | $8.19 |
| Earnings per share in year 7 | $8.19 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 17.18× |
| Value in 7 years = earnings × P/E | $140.75 |
| Discounted at 7.70% over 7 years: ÷ 1.6802 | $83.77 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $83.77 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $83.77
Base value $83.77 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $23.49 and a 10% chance it is above $55.44 in a year; a 52% chance it is higher than today's $35.42, from 33.34% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 7.7% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $30.37 | $35.25 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $31.76 | $35.31 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $34.62 | — |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $34.68 | — |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $35.84 | — |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $36.63 | $85.21 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $35.42 | $83.77 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
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