On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Mosaic Company (The) is $26.83 a share, 23.3% above its $21.76 close; 1 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is -11.68% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | — | — | the model values the equity at -$0.29 — a negative figure is not a low price, it is a projection of losses, and no share price follows from it |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | $26.83 | +23.3% | the stock's own median price-to-sales of 0.74× |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Price to sales | $26.83 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $26.83
Base value $26.83 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $10.67 and a 10% chance it is above $40.53 in a year; a 47% chance it is higher than today's $21.76, from 51.82% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 9.32% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $21.07 | $2.34 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $18.74 | $2.26 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $18.82 | $2.11 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $17.84 | $1.98 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $18.39 | $2.02 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $22.36 | $26.83 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $21.76 | $26.83 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
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