On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for NextEra Energy is $69.16 a share, 18.9% below its $85.29 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is -0.90% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $69.16 | -18.9% | earnings per share $4.03 valued at 22.79× (the stock's own median P/E) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: 'FPL' matches no business kind in the house table, so it cannot be valued. The rest are not published without it — a sum missing a part reads as a valuation and is simply wrong |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $4.03 |
| Year 1 | 1.60% | $4.09 |
| Year 2 | 1.95% | $4.17 |
| Year 3 | 2.21% | $4.27 |
| Year 4 | 2.41% | $4.37 |
| Year 5 | 2.56% | $4.48 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $4.48 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 22.79× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $102.09 |
| Discounted at 8.10% over 5 years: ÷ 1.4761 | $69.16 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $69.16 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $69.16
Base value $69.16 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $69.42 and a 10% chance it is above $117.74 in a year; a 62% chance it is higher than today's $85.29, from 20.51% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 8.1% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $76.83 | $88.00 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $77.38 | $87.64 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $79.80 | — |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $82.10 | $69.28 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $83.71 | $69.79 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $86.95 | $70.01 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $85.29 | $69.16 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
Run a full Desk Run on NEE · NextEra Energy company page · Call and put prices