On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Nvidia is $285.19 a share, 71.6% above its $166.19 close; 1 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | 9.39x spot |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | — | — | no exit multiple: the five-year median of 51.9x is 5.0x the 10.4x this name trades at today (limit 1.5x) — the market has re-rated the name, so its own history prices a business it is no longer paid for. The forward PE is not a substitute: it is today's price divided by earnings, and an anchor built from it can only restate the price |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: 'Compute & Networking' matches no business kind in the house table, so it cannot be valued. The rest are not published without it — a sum missing a part reads as a valuation and is simply wrong |
| Price to sales | $285.19 | +71.6% | the stock's own median price-to-sales of 22.86× |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Price to sales | $285.19 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $285.19
Base value $285.19 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $99.72 and a 10% chance it is above $297.82 in a year; a 54% chance it is higher than today's $166.19, from 42.47% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 13% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $233.95 | $131.57 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $229.28 | $132.16 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $214.13 | $282.82 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $210.96 | $282.82 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $204.64 | $285.19 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $186.64 | $285.19 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $166.19 | $285.19 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 31 Jul 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
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