On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Oracle Corporation is $169.52 a share, 33.4% above its $127.11 close; 1 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is -7.53% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $169.52 | +33.4% | earnings per share $8.15 valued at 20.5× (the stock's own median P/E) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: the filing states no operating profit for 'Cloud and software'. The rest are not published without it — a sum missing a part reads as a valuation and is simply wrong |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $8.15 |
| Year 1 | 21.62% | $9.91 |
| Year 2 | 14.17% | $11.32 |
| Year 3 | 9.70% | $12.42 |
| Year 4 | 7.02% | $13.29 |
| Year 5 | 5.41% | $14.01 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $14.01 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 20.5× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $287.14 |
| Discounted at 11.12% over 5 years: ÷ 1.6938 | $169.52 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $169.52 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $169.52
Base value $169.52 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $53.81 and a 10% chance it is above $256.89 in a year; a 45% chance it is higher than today's $127.11, from 60.68% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 11.12% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $142.30 | $145.07 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $141.40 | $143.93 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $128.23 | $171.74 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $126.16 | $172.39 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $130.67 | $171.85 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $116.10 | $172.62 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $127.11 | $169.52 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 31 Aug 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
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