On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Public Service Enterprise Group is $44.76 a share, 40.2% below its $74.80 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is -0.46% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $44.76 | -40.2% | earnings per share $4.36 valued at 17.38× (the stock's own median P/E) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $4.36 |
| Year 1 | -6.40% | $4.08 |
| Year 2 | -4.05% | $3.92 |
| Year 3 | -2.29% | $3.83 |
| Year 4 | -0.97% | $3.79 |
| Year 5 | 0.03% | $3.79 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $3.79 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 17.38× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $65.94 |
| Discounted at 8.05% over 5 years: ÷ 1.4731 | $44.76 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $44.76 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $44.76
Base value $44.76 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $61.68 and a 10% chance it is above $102.22 in a year; a 62% chance it is higher than today's $74.80, from 19.61% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 8.05% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $68.07 | — |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $72.28 | — |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $71.49 | — |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $72.02 | — |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $74.29 | — |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $72.61 | — |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $74.80 | $44.76 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
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