On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Sempra is $52.88 a share, 33.0% below its $78.98 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is -9.40% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $52.88 | -33.0% | earnings per share $5.16 valued at 14.48× (the stock's own median P/E) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $5.16 |
| Year 1 | -0.92% | $5.12 |
| Year 2 | 0.26% | $5.13 |
| Year 3 | 1.08% | $5.19 |
| Year 4 | 1.66% | $5.27 |
| Year 5 | 2.06% | $5.38 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $5.38 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 14.48× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $77.90 |
| Discounted at 8.05% over 5 years: ÷ 1.4731 | $52.88 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $52.88 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $52.88
Base value $52.88 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $61.00 and a 10% chance it is above $113.00 in a year; a 59% chance it is higher than today's $78.98, from 23.93% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 8.05% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $78.38 | $50.49 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $81.34 | $50.68 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $83.41 | $52.48 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $84.06 | $52.70 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $86.06 | $52.97 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $78.17 | $53.53 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $78.98 | $52.88 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
Run a full Desk Run on SRE · Sempra company page · Call and put prices