On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for State Street Corporation is $96.18 a share, 44.6% below its $173.70 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | $18.56 is below net cash per share ($188.94) — a going concern cannot be worth less than the cash on its balance sheet |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $96.18 | -44.6% | earnings per share $13.81 valued at 10.2× (the stock's own median P/E) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $13.81 |
| Year 1 | 2.58% | $14.17 |
| Year 2 | 2.69% | $14.55 |
| Year 3 | 2.76% | $14.95 |
| Year 4 | 2.82% | $15.37 |
| Year 5 | 2.87% | $15.81 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $15.81 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 10.2× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $161.27 |
| Discounted at 10.89% over 5 years: ÷ 1.6767 | $96.18 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $96.18 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $96.18
Base value $96.18 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $139.82 and a 10% chance it is above $253.40 in a year; a 64% chance it is higher than today's $173.70, from 23.08% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 10.89% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $175.96 | $93.53 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $174.96 | $93.74 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $165.72 | $95.92 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $167.83 | $96.33 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $169.77 | $97.04 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $165.56 | $97.33 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $173.70 | $96.18 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
Run a full Desk Run on STT · State Street Corporation company page · Call and put prices