On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Tesla, Inc. is $352.74 a share, 11.2% below its $397.45 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is 0.23% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | — | — | 0.30x spot |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: the filing states no operating profit for 'Automotive'. The rest are not published without it — a sum missing a part reads as a valuation and is simply wrong |
| Price to sales | $352.74 | -11.2% | the stock's own median price-to-sales of 12.06× |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Price to sales | $352.74 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $352.74
Base value $352.74 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $214.77 and a 10% chance it is above $724.73 in a year; a 50% chance it is higher than today's $397.45, from 47.21% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 10.8% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $370.59 | $345.98 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $382.70 | $345.98 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $354.72 | $154.35 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $372.22 | $121.60 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $399.81 | $120.46 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $358.22 | $119.70 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $397.45 | $352.74 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
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