On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Xcel Energy is $65.95 a share, 19.1% below its $81.50 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | — | — | the free cash flow base is -14.79% of market cap (floor 1%) — the terminal value carries the answer, not the cash flows |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $65.95 | -19.1% | earnings per share $4.14 valued at 19.13× (the stock's own median P/E) in 5 years, discounted back |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
Earnings per share grow on the same fading path as the DCF:
| Year | Growth | Earnings per share |
|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $4.14 |
| Year 1 | 4.53% | $4.33 |
| Year 2 | 4.07% | $4.51 |
| Year 3 | 3.75% | $4.68 |
| Year 4 | 3.52% | $4.84 |
| Year 5 | 3.37% | $5.00 |
| Earnings per share in year 5 | $5.00 |
| Exit P/E (the stock's own median P/E) | 19.13× |
| Value in 5 years = earnings × P/E | $95.73 |
| Discounted at 7.74% over 5 years: ÷ 1.4517 | $65.95 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Exit multiple (P/E) | $65.95 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $65.95
Base value $65.95 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $68.14 and a 10% chance it is above $109.64 in a year; a 63% chance it is higher than today's $81.50, from 18.46% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 7.74% a year.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | $71.40 | $49.22 |
| 9 Oct 2026 | $73.78 | $49.58 |
| 16 Oct 2026 | $76.31 | $50.42 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $78.05 | $50.68 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $79.82 | $66.48 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $79.67 | $66.76 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $81.50 | $65.95 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Sep 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.
Run a full Desk Run on XEL · Xcel Energy company page · Call and put prices