On 12 Nov 2026 our base value for Vylor is $49.28 a share, 31.6% below its $72.06 close; 0 of 1 valuation methods put it above the price.
| Method | Value | vs price | Basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | $49.28 | -31.6% | free cash flow $2.16bn, growth -1.2% for 5 years, then fading to 3% over 5 more, discounted at 8.19%; stress floor $37.41 |
| Exit multiple (P/E) | — | — | no exit multiple: fewer than 12 quarters of usable earnings history, so there is no multiple this name has been shown to trade at. The forward PE is not a substitute — it is today's price divided by earnings, and an anchor built from it can only restate the price |
| Sum of the parts | — | — | no sum of the parts: this run holds no segment disclosure for the name |
| Price to sales | — | — | not reached: the cash-flow or earnings methods produced an anchor, so this fallback was not run |
| Tangible book | — | — | used only for lenders, where book value is the business |
| Price to FFO (REITs) | — | — | used only for REITs |
Each working is rebuilt by code from the valuation's own figures and checked against the published value.
The discount rate:
| Risk-free rate | 5.13% (10-year US Treasury yield) |
| Company's own beta | 0.60 (data provider's figure) |
| Peer beta | 0.37 (median of 32 S&P 500 Consumer Staples companies) |
| Blend of own and peers | 0.53 (67% own, 33% peers, two-thirds own, one-third peers) |
| Adjusted beta | 0.68 (0.67 × 0.53 + 0.33, pulled toward the market's 1.0) |
| Equity risk premium | 4.5% |
| Discount rate = risk-free + adjusted beta × premium | 8.19% |
Free cash flow grows -1.20% a year for 5 years, then fades in equal steps toward 3% over 5 more; each year is discounted by 1 ÷ (1 + rate)^year:
| Year | Growth | Free cash flow | Discount factor | Present value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | — | $2.16bn | — | — |
| Year 1 | -1.20% | $2.13bn | 0.9243 | $1.97bn |
| Year 2 | -1.20% | $2.11bn | 0.8543 | $1.80bn |
| Year 3 | -1.20% | $2.08bn | 0.7897 | $1.64bn |
| Year 4 | -1.20% | $2.06bn | 0.7299 | $1.50bn |
| Year 5 | -1.20% | $2.03bn | 0.6746 | $1.37bn |
| Year 6 | -0.50% | $2.02bn | 0.6236 | $1.26bn |
| Year 7 | 0.20% | $2.03bn | 0.5764 | $1.17bn |
| Year 8 | 0.90% | $2.05bn | 0.5327 | $1.09bn |
| Year 9 | 1.60% | $2.08bn | 0.4924 | $1.02bn |
| Year 10 | 2.30% | $2.13bn | 0.4551 | $967.65m |
| Terminal value = year-10 cash flow × (1 + 3%) ÷ (8.19% − 3%) | $42.19bn |
| Terminal value in today's money | $19.20bn |
| Present value of years 1–10 | $13.80bn |
| Total present value | $33.01bn |
| Shares outstanding | 669.80m |
| Value per share = total ÷ shares | $49.28 |
How the DCF value moves with the discount rate and the starting growth (the middle cell is the published value):
| Discount rate | Growth -6.2% | Growth -1.2% | Growth 3.8% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.19% | $43.73 | $60.53 | $83.42 |
| 8.19% | $36.01 | $49.28 | $67.25 |
| 9.19% | $30.76 | $41.65 | $56.30 |
The same DCF at each beta, starting growth unchanged:
| Beta | Value | Discount rate | DCF value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company's own beta | 0.60 | 7.83% | $52.80 |
| Peer beta | 0.37 | 6.79% | $66.60 |
| Adjusted beta (used) | 0.68 | 8.19% | $49.28 |
The base value is the average of the methods kept in it:
| Method | Value |
|---|---|
| Discounted cash flow | $49.28 |
One method is kept, so the base value is its value: $49.28
Base value $49.28 a share
One-year price simulation: a 10% chance the price is below $42.98 and a 10% chance it is above $120.46 in a year; a 50% chance it is higher than today's $72.06, from 40% volatility. The simulation assumes the price drifts up at our discount rate of 8.19% a year.
At $72.06 the price implies free cash flow growing 4.9% a year for five years and then fading toward 3% over five more; its revenue has grown -1.2%.
| Week | Price | Base value |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | $72.18 | $49.88 |
| 23 Oct 2026 | $74.59 | $50.69 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $72.40 | $51.35 |
| 6 Nov 2026 | $70.14 | $52.01 |
| 12 Nov 2026 | $72.06 | $49.28 |
Data as of 12 Nov 2026; financials to 30 Jun 2026. Sources: company filings via EODHD, SEC EDGAR, US Treasury. How these values are computed. Not investment advice.